Theres a science to predicting Oscar nominations that, more often than not, involves ignoring the science.
ifThomas Newmanwrote an original score for a movie, hes probably getting nominated).
With that said, no guts no glory, here are my Oscar nominations predictions.
We know that much.
And can a small film likeThe Florida Projectrack up enough passion votes to make the cut?
Then againThe Big Sickhas a lot of fans, andDarkest Houris catnip for traditional voters.
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Honestly who knows, but this is what Im feeling right now.
But for obvious reasons, its also possible she misses out.
Beyond that, given the hit-or-miss nature ofThe PostIm honestly a bit dubiousSteven Spielbergcan crack the Top 5.
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Will this finally be his year?
In his stead I thinkDaniel Kaluuyahas a solid shot forGet Out, coming strong off a SAG nomination.
Although given its lack of buzz, I could also envision a scenario in whichDaniel Day-Lewisdoesnt make the cut.
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So in her stead Ive gotOctavia SpencerforThe Shape of Water.
Shes great in the movie and she won this category before forThe Help.
IfArmie Hammermisses Im gonna be Mad OnlineTM about it.
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So that meansThe Post, which was snubbed by the WGA, gets the shaft.
Although I could also seeWonderorDarkest Hourmaking the cut instead.
This categorys a bit of a wild card.
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But really, this one isCocos to lose.
I feel pretty settled with this, but could also seeJanusz Kaminskisneaking in forThe Post.
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Image via Alcon Entertainment / Warner Bros.
